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Red99
439860.7
791114.4
592622.3
Blue79
611424.7
508425.9
360332.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101160501502002509979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#9
68Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
82Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
8L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points12
99Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#10
60.70.0
60.560.5
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
red by 28.1
3603
#20
32.62.5
40.838.3
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End6.9
Second
22.30.0
23.023.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2
blue by 3.7
5084
#12
25.92.5
35.833.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
7911
#13
14.40.0
15.815.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 10.3
24.72.5
28.525.9
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned