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Red112
376767.1
365840.3
518315.0
Blue27
71556.1
664220.1
819321.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17938010015020025030011227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+71Teleop
+83Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
62Total teleop16
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
2Foul points0
112Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.12.0
82.880.9
Auto18.3
Teleop40.9
End8.0
red by 45.2
8193
#15
21.91.4
24.122.6
Auto2.6
Teleop16.9
End2.3
Second
40.32.0
37.035.1
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
red by 20.2
6642
#14
20.11.4
16.114.7
Auto3.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.0
Third
5183
#21
15.02.0
16.714.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 8.9
7155
#22
6.11.4
5.94.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed