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Red85
516220.5
611424.7
592622.3
Blue60
360332.6
917632.6
791114.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661100501502002508560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+13Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
47Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
12Foul points0
85Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
25.926.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 7.9
3603
#20
32.62.3
38.336.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End6.9
Second
22.30.4
23.023.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2
blue by 10.3
9176
#24
32.62.3
40.838.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Third
20.50.4
17.417.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 6.1
7911
#13
14.42.3
15.813.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed