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Red180
191869.7
71556.1
376767.1
Blue102
611424.7
716668.2
518315.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16711550100150200250180102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
65Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
9L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +78
42Foul points0
180Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.1
69.969.8
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
red by 1.5
68.20.1
68.368.1
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
Second
67.10.1
67.367.2
Auto18.3
Teleop40.9
End8.0
red by 42.4
24.70.1
24.824.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Third
7155
#22
6.10.1
6.26.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 8.9
5183
#21
15.00.1
15.114.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5