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Red90
171140.7
917632.6
335733.5
Blue126
439860.7
365840.3
52609.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611205010015020025090126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +45
15Coral scored#21
53Coral points74
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
67Total teleop112
Reef
4L4#10
7L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
90Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
41.140.7
Auto8.8
Teleop25.2
End6.7
blue by 20.1
4398
#10
60.70.4
59.159.6
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
Second
33.50.4
33.933.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
blue by 6.8
40.30.4
38.739.2
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
Third
9176
#24
32.60.4
33.032.6
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
red by 22.9
5260
#17
9.70.4
8.18.5
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4