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Red110
611424.7
716668.2
518315.0
Blue133
439860.7
365840.3
52609.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118113050100150200250110133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +56
12Coral scored#23
43Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
61Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#4
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
110Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.20.1
68.168.2
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
red by 7.5
4398
#10
60.70.6
59.660.1
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
Second
24.70.1
24.724.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 15.6
40.30.6
39.239.7
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
Third
5183
#21
15.00.1
14.915.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 5.3
5260
#17
9.70.6
8.59.1
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4