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Red106
611424.7
716668.2
518315.0
Blue90
400427.2
508425.9
791114.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12356010015020010690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
17Coral scored#11
61Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
75Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +16
8Foul points0
106Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.20.2
67.967.7
Auto19.8
Teleop41.6
End6.8
red by 40.9
4004
#16
27.20.6
26.427.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
Second
24.70.2
24.524.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 1.2
5084
#12
25.90.6
25.125.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
5183
#21
15.00.2
14.714.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 0.5
7911
#13
14.40.6
13.614.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6