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Red122
171140.7
917632.6
335733.5
Blue79
592622.3
612138.1
387524.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209505015020012279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +29
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
85Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
122Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.1
40.540.7
Auto8.8
Teleop25.2
End6.7
red by 2.6
6121
#11
38.10.5
39.138.6
Auto6.5
Teleop30.2
End1.3
Second
33.50.1
33.433.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 9.0
3875
#23
24.50.5
25.525.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Third
9176
#24
32.60.1
32.432.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.1
End3.0
red by 10.3
22.30.5
23.322.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2