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Red88
191869.7
71556.1
376767.1
Blue79
439860.7
365840.3
52609.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173108501502002508879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+5
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
58Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
88Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.71.3
71.269.9
Auto12.0
Teleop46.4
End11.3
red by 9.0
4398
#10
60.70.6
59.358.7
Auto8.2
Teleop51.7
End0.8
Second
67.11.3
68.667.3
Auto18.3
Teleop40.9
End8.0
red by 26.8
40.30.6
38.938.3
Auto5.4
Teleop34.0
End0.9
Third
7155
#22
6.11.3
7.66.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 3.6
5260
#17
9.70.6
8.37.7
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4