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Red90
400427.2
508425.9
791114.4
Blue106
592622.3
612138.1
387524.5
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679805015020090106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
65Total teleop63
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points20
90Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#16
27.20.3
27.027.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.5
End6.5
blue by 10.9
6121
#11
38.10.3
38.638.4
Auto6.5
Teleop30.2
End1.3
Second
5084
#12
25.90.3
25.625.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
red by 1.4
3875
#23
24.50.3
25.124.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Third
7911
#13
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 7.8
22.30.3
22.822.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2