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Red94
81521.8
828048.5
842310.4
Blue136
118959.6
3364.5
553027.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8820005015025030094136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
25Coral points18
34Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +47
10Coral scored#18
36Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
46Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#8
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
94Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
48.50.2
42.843.0
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
blue by 16.0
33
#8
64.52.4
70.668.2
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
Second
815
#31
21.80.2
31.631.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 37.8
59.62.4
60.458.0
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
Third
8423
#34
10.40.2
16.817.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 17.0
5530
#16
27.42.4
41.238.8
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned