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Red119
94559.4
283432.5
91065.8
Blue128
283260.1
365526.2
719633.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133131110120140150119128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
76Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
119Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.80.2
66.466.2
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 5.6
60.10.1
54.854.9
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
Second
2834
#32
32.50.2
40.940.7
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 0.9
7196
#17
33.30.1
20.320.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
Third
9455
#37
9.40.2
6.46.2
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 16.8
3655
#29
26.20.1
41.041.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned