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Red55
661611.7
125030.4
721138.4
Blue95
86253.4
148134.1
262025.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781610501002002503005595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
40Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
55Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#24
38.41.6
36.735.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
blue by 15.0
862
#7
53.42.7
53.951.2
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Second
1250
#21
30.41.6
25.724.1
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
blue by 3.7
1481
#18
34.12.7
44.541.7
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Third
6616
#40
11.71.6
16.314.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 14.2
2620
#36
25.92.7
37.534.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed