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Red56
24543.3
24010.4
81521.8
Blue120
353851.0
102348.5
432726.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10414905020025056120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+66
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +34
9Leave9
2Coral scored#9
11Coral points45
20Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
30Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#8
4L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
56Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#13
43.33.0
52.049.0
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
blue by 7.7
3538
#19
51.00.6
43.743.1
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Second
815
#31
21.83.0
31.828.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 26.7
1023
#11
48.50.6
53.553.0
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Third
240
#35
10.43.0
12.69.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 15.6
4327
#22
26.00.6
25.124.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed