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Red185
553027.4
924581.2
6765.2
Blue138
3364.5
931249.5
842412.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210130050100150250300350185138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+19Teleop
+39Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
8Coral scored#6
39Coral points31
39Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
25Coral scored#19
90Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
114Total teleop97
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#7
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
8Foul points0
185Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.8
80.279.4
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 16.7
33
#8
64.50.5
65.265.7
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
Second
67
#2
65.20.8
75.374.5
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 15.7
9312
#26
49.50.5
43.143.6
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Third
5530
#16
27.40.8
33.232.4
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
red by 15.3
8424
#38
12.10.5
22.122.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed