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Red185
283260.1
828048.5
22650.9
Blue92
376752.5
360457.6
765630.3
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17717610012014016020022018592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+63Teleop
+95Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +70
26Coral scored#11
95Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
119Total teleop49
Reef
16L4#5
7L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#20
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points2
185Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.4
54.956.3
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 2.5
57.66.0
65.759.7
Auto11.8
Teleop37.5
End8.3
Second
226
#3
50.91.4
57.859.2
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
blue by 1.6
3767
#10
52.56.0
62.856.8
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Third
8280
#12
48.51.4
40.341.7
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
red by 18.2
7656
#33
30.36.0
39.833.8
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed