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Red82
664214.2
661611.7
86253.4
Blue129
91065.8
118959.6
150230.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7317705010015020025030082129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+57
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#10
27Coral points48
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#17
28Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#9
5L3#6
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
15Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
82Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#7
53.40.2
51.251.4
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
blue by 12.4
910
#5
65.81.5
66.264.6
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
6642
#27
14.20.2
12.913.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
blue by 45.4
59.61.5
55.353.8
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
Third
6616
#40
11.70.2
14.815.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 19.0
1502
#25
30.71.5
30.529.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsMissed