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Red67
24010.4
842310.4
719633.3
Blue78
148134.1
24543.3
125030.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311430501002002506778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+7
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
67Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7196
#17
33.31.5
20.421.9
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
blue by 9.9
245
#13
43.32.5
49.046.5
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
Second
240
#35
10.41.5
9.511.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 23.7
1481
#18
34.12.5
41.739.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Third
8423
#34
10.41.5
14.015.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 20.0
1250
#21
30.42.5
24.121.6
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned