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Red111
432726.0
721138.4
94559.4
Blue148
786520.1
102348.5
283432.5
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72136050100150200111148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+53
Endgame+43
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points22
13Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +41
14Coral scored#25
50Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
18Processor points18
8Net points8
26Algae points26
76Total teleop117
Reef
6L4#14
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
6Foul points0
111Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#24
38.41.0
35.136.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
blue by 10.2
1023
#11
48.51.1
53.054.0
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
4327
#22
26.01.0
24.625.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
blue by 6.5
2834
#32
32.51.1
40.741.8
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Third
9455
#37
9.41.0
6.27.2
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 10.7
7865
#14
20.11.1
14.015.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed