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Red69
54833.6
262025.9
Blue55
607819.6
661837.6
365526.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871240501001502006955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
54Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
69Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#20
33.60.7
40.740.0
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
blue by 3.9
6618
#28
37.63.5
39.936.5
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4
Second
2620
#36
25.90.7
34.834.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
blue by 0.3
3655
#29
26.23.5
41.137.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Third
0.10.7
3.62.9
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.1
End0.1
blue by 19.5
6078
#23
19.63.5
26.322.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsMissed