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Red95
664214.2
283432.5
118959.6
Blue66
353851.0
786520.1
75984.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147700501002002503009566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
56Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
95Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.62.2
62.660.4
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
red by 8.7
3538
#19
51.00.8
45.444.6
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Second
2834
#32
32.52.2
45.243.0
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
red by 12.4
7865
#14
20.10.8
15.915.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
6642
#27
14.22.2
20.117.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 10.1
7598
#30
4.10.8
10.69.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed