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Red101
765630.3
150230.7
125030.4
Blue138
3364.5
91065.8
432726.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11319950150250300350101138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +14
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
75Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
101Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#25
30.71.7
36.334.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
blue by 35.1
910
#5
65.83.2
69.366.1
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
1250
#21
30.41.7
29.527.8
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
blue by 34.1
33
#8
64.53.2
73.970.6
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
Third
7656
#33
30.31.7
46.845.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 4.2
4327
#22
26.03.2
29.326.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned