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Red132
118959.6
283260.1
765630.3
Blue116
931249.5
719633.3
125030.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16483050100150200250132116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
73Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
132Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.10.8
56.355.5
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 10.6
9312
#26
49.51.9
43.645.6
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Second
59.60.8
53.853.0
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
red by 26.3
7196
#17
33.31.9
21.923.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
Third
7656
#33
30.30.8
33.833.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
blue by 0.1
1250
#21
30.41.9
21.623.6
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed