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Red104
664214.2
24543.3
828048.5
Blue125
283432.5
22650.9
721138.4
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107162050150200250104125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
68Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
104Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#12
48.50.2
41.741.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
blue by 2.4
226
#3
50.91.2
59.258.0
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Second
245
#13
43.30.2
46.546.4
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
red by 4.9
7211
#24
38.41.2
36.134.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Third
6642
#27
14.20.2
13.213.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
blue by 18.3
2834
#32
32.51.2
41.840.6
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned