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Red115
91065.8
148134.1
376752.5
Blue122
553027.4
360457.6
102348.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183167050100150200250300115122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
67Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points2
115Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.83.4
64.661.2
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 8.1
57.62.1
59.757.6
Auto11.8
Teleop37.5
End8.3
Second
3767
#10
52.53.4
56.853.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 4.0
1023
#11
48.52.1
54.051.9
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Third
1481
#18
34.13.4
39.335.9
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
red by 6.8
5530
#16
27.42.1
32.430.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned