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Red65
661837.6
150230.7
94559.4
Blue118
6765.2
24010.4
262025.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7914805010020025065118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
10Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
49Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
65Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#28
37.60.7
36.535.7
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4
blue by 27.6
67
#2
65.20.3
74.574.3
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
Second
1502
#25
30.70.7
29.028.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
red by 4.8
2620
#36
25.90.3
34.133.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Third
9455
#37
9.40.7
7.26.5
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 1.1
240
#35
10.40.3
11.110.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed