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Red110
3364.5
661611.7
786520.1
Blue96
353851.0
842310.4
607819.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128005010015020011096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
68Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#2
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
110Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
64.51.0
65.766.7
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 13.5
3538
#19
51.01.1
41.042.1
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Second
7865
#14
20.11.0
15.016.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 0.5
6078
#23
19.61.1
22.823.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Third
6616
#40
11.71.0
15.015.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
red by 1.3
8423
#34
10.41.1
15.516.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed