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Red152
608140.5
931249.5
360457.6
Blue155
54833.6
283260.1
24543.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15615580100120140180200152155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points54
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
18Processor points24
16Net points32
34Algae points56
89Total teleop110
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
152Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.1
57.657.5
Auto11.8
Teleop37.5
End8.3
blue by 2.5
60.10.4
55.555.0
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
Second
9312
#26
49.50.1
45.645.5
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
red by 6.2
245
#13
43.30.4
46.445.9
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
Third
6081
#15
40.50.1
36.035.9
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
red by 6.9
548
#20
33.60.4
40.039.6
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned