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Red183
6765.2
828048.5
91065.8
Blue36
262025.9
842412.1
664214.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21148010015025030018336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+45Auto
+127Teleop
+147Endgame
+147Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
0Leave0
12Coral scored#3
58Coral points13
58Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +82
21Coral scored#4
75Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
99Total teleop17
Reef
18L4#3
6L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +147
0Foul points0
183Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.80.4
61.261.6
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 39.9
2620
#36
25.92.1
33.831.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Second
67
#2
65.20.4
74.374.7
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
red by 51.0
6642
#27
14.22.1
13.010.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
Third
8280
#12
48.50.4
41.541.9
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
red by 36.4
8424
#38
12.12.1
20.418.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed