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Red124
924581.2
607819.6
54833.6
Blue134
150230.7
353851.0
553027.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160104050200250124134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
36Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +15
17Coral scored#15
62Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
76Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
124Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.1
77.776.6
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 30.2
3538
#19
51.02.2
42.144.3
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Second
548
#20
33.61.1
39.638.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
red by 3.0
1502
#25
30.72.2
28.330.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
Third
6078
#23
19.61.1
23.922.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
blue by 7.7
5530
#16
27.42.2
30.332.5
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned