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Red52
102348.5
24010.4
365526.2
Blue109
125030.4
75984.1
3364.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110111608010012014052109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+57
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#13
29Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
39Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
52Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#11
48.53.1
51.948.8
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
blue by 15.9
33
#8
64.50.9
66.767.6
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
Second
3655
#29
26.23.1
35.432.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
blue by 4.2
1250
#21
30.40.9
23.624.5
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
Third
240
#35
10.43.1
10.87.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 6.3
7598
#30
4.10.9
4.65.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed