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Red112
721138.4
91065.8
664214.2
Blue73
81521.8
931249.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1267105010015020025011273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+37Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
54Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
2Foul points0
112Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.80.2
61.661.8
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 16.3
9312
#26
49.50.1
45.545.6
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Second
7211
#24
38.40.2
34.835.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
red by 16.6
815
#31
21.80.1
25.525.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Third
6642
#27
14.20.2
10.911.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 14.1
0.10.1
0.60.7
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed