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Red170
661837.6
924581.2
353851.0
Blue141
6765.2
360457.6
24543.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165201050100250300350170141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
8Coral scored#9
40Coral points44
43Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#15
85Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
113Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#8
9L3#9
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
170Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.9
76.677.5
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
red by 16.0
67
#2
65.22.5
74.772.2
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
Second
3538
#19
51.00.9
44.345.2
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
blue by 6.7
57.62.5
57.555.0
Auto11.8
Teleop37.5
End8.3
Third
6618
#28
37.60.9
35.436.3
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4
blue by 5.7
245
#13
43.32.5
45.943.5
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned