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Red151
125030.4
118959.6
102348.5
Blue51
75984.1
262025.9
283432.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1527805010020025015151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+96Teleop
+100Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +68
22Coral scored#6
78Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
98Total teleop30
Reef
9L4#2
10L3#2
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points0
151Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.6
53.054.7
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
red by 27.2
2834
#32
32.51.8
41.239.3
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Second
1023
#11
48.51.6
48.850.5
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 22.7
2620
#36
25.91.8
31.729.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Third
1250
#21
30.41.6
24.526.2
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
red by 26.3
7598
#30
4.11.8
5.53.7
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed