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Red54
150230.7
607819.6
786520.1
Blue48
24010.4
765630.3
842412.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735502040801001201405448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
36Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
54Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1502
#25
30.71.0
30.529.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
red by 0.4
7656
#33
30.30.7
32.331.6
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
7865
#14
20.11.0
15.914.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 8.0
8424
#38
12.10.7
18.317.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
6078
#23
19.61.0
22.821.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
red by 9.2
240
#35
10.40.7
7.77.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned