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Red47
842412.1
553027.4
283432.5
Blue108
118959.6
24543.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011105010015020047108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
7Coral scored#16
24Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
34Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#11
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
47Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#32
32.52.8
39.336.5
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 27.2
59.60.4
54.755.1
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
Second
5530
#16
27.42.8
29.426.6
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
blue by 15.9
245
#13
43.30.4
43.543.9
Auto11.8
Teleop26.5
End4.9
Third
8424
#38
12.12.8
17.714.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 12.0
0.10.4
0.71.1
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned