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Red80
376752.5
664214.2
842310.4
Blue65
24010.4
94559.4
54833.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions994701502008065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
58Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points2
80Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#10
52.50.5
53.653.2
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 18.9
548
#20
33.60.1
35.335.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
Second
6642
#27
14.20.5
11.110.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 3.8
240
#35
10.40.1
7.07.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
8423
#34
10.40.5
13.312.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
red by 1.0
9455
#37
9.40.1
6.66.7
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed