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Red122
81521.8
86253.4
283260.1
Blue80
262025.9
365526.2
765630.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1599205020025012280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
71Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
122Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.0
57.056.1
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 29.9
7656
#33
30.30.6
31.631.0
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
862
#7
53.41.0
53.752.7
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
red by 27.2
3655
#29
26.20.6
26.926.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Third
815
#31
21.81.0
25.624.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End1.3
blue by 4.0
2620
#36
25.90.6
29.929.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed