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Red177
102348.5
608140.5
3364.5
Blue95
786520.1
661837.6
719633.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1837405010015020025017795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+72Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points10
43Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +48
19Coral scored#9
68Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
108Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
177Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
64.51.9
62.264.1
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 26.9
6618
#28
37.61.1
36.337.4
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4
Second
1023
#11
48.51.9
50.552.4
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
red by 15.2
7196
#17
33.31.1
27.728.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
Third
6081
#15
40.51.9
35.337.3
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
red by 20.4
7865
#14
20.11.1
14.915.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned