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Red93
931249.5
75984.1
828048.5
Blue87
148134.1
150230.7
432726.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98967080901109387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
93Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#26
49.50.1
45.645.7
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
red by 15.4
1481
#18
34.10.3
30.129.8
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Second
8280
#12
48.50.1
42.142.2
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
red by 17.8
1502
#25
30.70.3
29.529.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
Third
7598
#30
4.10.1
3.73.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 21.9
4327
#22
26.00.3
25.925.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned