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Red102
661611.7
353851.0
24010.4
Blue135
22650.9
91065.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61143050100200102135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+27
Endgame+41
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
62Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
8Foul points0
102Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#19
51.01.6
45.447.0
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
blue by 14.8
910
#5
65.80.9
63.364.1
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
6616
#40
11.71.6
17.819.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 39.2
226
#3
50.90.9
57.858.6
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Third
240
#35
10.41.6
7.28.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 10.3
0.10.9
1.12.0
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned