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Red130
102348.5
607819.6
828048.5
Blue147
6765.2
842310.4
283260.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144183050100250300350130147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+31
Endgame+21
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points41
37Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#20
53Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
71Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#5
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
26Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points2
130Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#11
48.51.4
58.957.5
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
blue by 16.7
67
#2
65.21.7
83.081.3
Auto19.6
Teleop40.3
End5.4
Second
8280
#12
48.51.4
44.142.8
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
blue by 11.6
60.11.7
57.455.8
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
Third
6078
#23
19.61.4
30.328.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
red by 9.2
8423
#34
10.41.7
18.516.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed