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Red194
150230.7
283260.1
3364.5
Blue133
118959.6
721138.4
148134.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171121050100150200250194133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points37
44Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +38
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
112Total teleop74
Reef
16L4#7
6L3#8
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
12Foul points0
194Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
64.51.6
64.165.7
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 4.8
59.60.6
55.155.7
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
Second
60.11.6
56.157.7
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.4
red by 21.8
7211
#24
38.40.6
31.331.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Third
1502
#25
30.71.6
29.230.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
blue by 3.5
1481
#18
34.10.6
29.830.4
Auto11.1
Teleop18.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned