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Red23
75984.1
365526.2
661611.7
Blue63
786520.1
553027.4
765630.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4387020601001201401602363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +32
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
8Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
23Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#29
26.21.8
26.324.6
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
blue by 4.1
7656
#33
30.30.7
31.030.3
Auto6.7
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
6616
#40
11.71.8
19.317.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 15.7
5530
#16
27.40.7
26.625.9
Auto5.7
Teleop18.7
End3.0
Third
7598
#30
4.11.8
3.82.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 16.0
7865
#14
20.10.7
15.915.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed