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Red101
54833.6
22650.9
125030.4
Blue53
842412.1
102348.5
94559.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1447905010020010153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+66Teleop
+54Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +62
15Coral scored#4
53Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#0
6Processor points6
24Net points0
30Algae points6
83Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points6
101Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
50.91.4
58.657.3
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
red by 2.4
1023
#11
48.51.8
52.450.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.0
End4.8
Second
548
#20
33.61.4
35.434.0
Auto7.7
Teleop22.5
End3.4
red by 21.5
8424
#38
12.11.8
14.913.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
1250
#21
30.41.4
27.626.2
Auto1.8
Teleop26.5
End2.1
red by 21.0
9455
#37
9.41.8
6.74.9
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned