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Red169
91065.8
719633.3
353851.0
Blue58
842310.4
432726.0
661837.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1647005010015020025016958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+101Teleop
+111Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points14
51Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +70
23Coral scored#8
84Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
102Total teleop32
Reef
14L4#3
8L3#4
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +111
0Foul points0
169Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#5
65.81.8
64.166.0
Auto19.4
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 28.2
6618
#28
37.61.1
36.635.5
Auto9.1
Teleop25.1
End3.4
Second
3538
#19
51.01.8
47.048.8
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
red by 25.0
4327
#22
26.01.1
26.125.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Third
7196
#17
33.31.8
30.332.2
Auto8.1
Teleop18.9
End6.3
red by 23.0
8423
#34
10.41.1
11.210.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed