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Red114
283432.5
3364.5
376752.5
Blue124
931249.5
86253.4
150230.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173131050100150200250300114124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
64Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
114Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#8
64.52.5
65.763.2
Auto16.3
Teleop41.1
End7.1
red by 11.1
862
#7
53.40.7
52.651.9
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Second
3767
#10
52.52.5
50.948.4
Auto16.3
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 3.0
9312
#26
49.50.7
44.944.2
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
Third
2834
#32
32.52.5
34.832.3
Auto6.3
Teleop20.3
End5.9
red by 1.8
1502
#25
30.70.7
30.830.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed