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Red121
118959.6
608140.5
24010.4
Blue142
828048.5
721138.4
365526.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210990100120130140121142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
26Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#20
55Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
79Total teleop87
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#7
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
121Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.4
55.756.1
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
red by 11.1
8280
#12
48.52.1
42.644.7
Auto14.0
Teleop26.2
End8.3
Second
6081
#15
40.50.4
38.839.3
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End6.6
red by 2.1
7211
#24
38.42.1
31.934.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
Third
240
#35
10.40.4
8.79.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 15.8
3655
#29
26.22.1
24.626.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned