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Red149
360457.6
75984.1
118959.6
Blue145
924581.2
94559.4
86253.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12315550100200149145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+16Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave9
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points37
37Total auto46
TeleoperatedRed +25
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
12Processor points12
32Net points8
44Algae points20
98Total teleop73
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
149Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.62.1
56.158.2
Auto13.3
Teleop37.6
End8.7
blue by 21.6
81.20.5
77.778.2
Auto19.2
Teleop52.3
End9.7
Second
57.62.1
56.959.0
Auto11.8
Teleop37.5
End8.3
red by 4.3
862
#7
53.40.5
51.952.4
Auto16.4
Teleop28.7
End8.3
Third
7598
#30
4.12.1
2.04.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 5.3
9455
#37
9.40.5
4.95.4
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned