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Red113
842310.4
931249.5
721138.4
Blue122
22650.9
353851.0
365526.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91145050200250113122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points24
19Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
78Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
113Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#26
49.51.6
44.245.8
Auto15.1
Teleop32.1
End2.4
blue by 1.5
3538
#19
51.00.4
48.848.4
Auto16.7
Teleop32.6
End1.7
Second
7211
#24
38.41.6
34.035.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End9.8
blue by 12.5
226
#3
50.90.4
51.951.5
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Third
8423
#34
10.41.6
10.111.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 15.8
3655
#29
26.20.4
26.726.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned